ATLANTA – Donald Trump has a clear hold over red states like Arizona and Texas, but recent polls show the race in Georgia is much tighter—and with early voting in these states, many have already cast their ballot.

In Arizona, Trump is steady at a five-point lead; and in Texas his advantage over Clinton is higher at 9 points, according to recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls.

EXCLUSIVE 11ALIVE POLL: Georgia senate race not close

Georgia, however, shows that Trump is ahead by one point, with likely voters—45 percent to 44 percent—which down by one point since September. Johnson has 8 percent.


One reason for Clinton’s close numbers is the African-American vote in Georgia. The poll shows, African Americans make up 29 percent of voters and they are slightly favoring her over Trump.

By contrast, Latinos make up 21 percent of voters in Arizona, and they support Clinton a smidge less than Trump.

Furthermore, Trump leads with early Georgian voters by two points. Approximately 40 percent of likely voters have already cast their ballot—Trump gets 48 v. Clinton with 46 percent.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist polls were conducted Oct. 30-Nov. 1.:

  • In Arizona, the poll interviewed 948 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.2 percentage points) and 719 likely voters (plus-minus 3.7 percentage points).
  • In Georgia, the poll interviewed 937 registered voters (plus-minus 3.2 percentage points) and 707 likely voters (plus-minus 3.7 percentage points).
  • In Texas, the poll interviewed 943 registered voters (plus-minus 3.2 percentage points) and 679 likely voters (plus-minus 3.8 percentage points).

11Alive released a poll Monday showing Trump with a larger lead in Georgia. According to our poll, conducted by SurveyUSA, Trump has a 7-point lead in the peach state.

EXCLUSIVE 11ALIVE POLL | Trump lead grows in Georgia

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