The risk for severe weather is going up on each model run and also in my opinion for tomorrow afternoon. The main reason why is the face that this system is going slower than forecasted, and also when it comes through it will be strong that originally forecasted. Behind this front there is a MASSIVE temperature drop taking the temps down by a full 60 degrees in parts of KS, OK, MO, and AR tonight and tomorrow.
When this system kicks out tomorrow it will move through during the warmest time of the day... Consequently that will be the time with the highest instability and also the highest helecity (low level atmospheric spin) values in all of N Georgia. The front will move through the metro area during the late afternoon hours between around 2-5pm and willl produce severe weather with the main threat being damaging winds. There will also be a risk tomorrow if everything comes together for an isolated tornado in some of the strongest storms.
Bottom Line and My Thoughts
I think tomorrow could be a bit bumpy provided all things come together perfectly in the afternoon. I will be updating the blog, the website, and of course on the air. As of right now I am giving tomorrow's threat a 4 on a scale of 1-10 but will most likely bump this number up to a 5 later this evening.
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