Exclusive election poll shows Deal over Carter for Governor

(WXIA) -- With two months to go until early voting begins, an exclusive scientific poll shows Georgia Republicans lead in races for Governor, U.S. Senator, Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General and School Superintendent.

The poll was conducted by SurveyUSA August 14-17 among likely voters.

Deal leads Governor's Race
When asked, "If the election were held today, who would you vote for?" 48% of likely voters said current Republican Governor Nathan Deal, 39% said Democrat Jason Carter, and 4% said Libertarian Andrew Hunt. Eight-percent remain undecided.

Deal holds 83% of the Republican base. Carter holds 82% of the Democratic base. Independents break sharply Republican. Moderates provide some support for Carter, but at the current rate, it's not enough to catch Deal. Libertarian Hunt takes more votes from the Republican Deal than he does from the Democrat Carter.

Comparing the new poll numbers to one taken just before the primary in May, both candidates gained likely voters as the percentage of undecided voters dropped from 13% to 8%. Deal went from 43% of the vote to 48%, a five point rise. Carter went from 37% to 39%.

Perdue leads Nunn by 9 points
In the race to fill Saxby Chambliss's seat, Republican David Perdue defeats Democrat Michelle Nunn 50% to 41%. Libertarian Amanda Swafford takes 3% of the vote. According to the poll, Perdue's lead comes entirely from men, where he leads by 19 points.

While Atlanta votes Democrat, Northwest GA votes 2:1 Republican. South and East GA votes 5:4 Republican. The Senate seat has national ramifications; Republicans need to hold the seat to have a chance to capture control of the U.S. Senate in the next Congress.

FULL POLL RESULTS: View poll break-out by age, race, gender

Other Poll Results:

Lieutenant Governor:
Casey Cagle (R) 52%
Connie Stokes (D) 35%
Undecided 12%

Secretary of State:
Brain Kemp (R) 53%
Doreen Carter (D) 36%
Undecided 11%

Attorney General:
Sam Olens 49%
Greg Hecht 36%
Undecided 15%

State School Superintendent:
Richard Woods (R) 51%
Valarie Wilson (D) 39%
Undecided 10%


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