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Today is the statistical peak of hurricane season. September 10th is traditionally the peak of the season based on the numbers of storms that occur each year. The season is from June 1st to November 30th.

The tropics are getting more active just in time for the peak. We have 2 systems that we are watching. Tropical storm Humberto will become a hurricane later today. It will be our first hurricane of the season. This storm will form just one day before Gustav formed in 2002. Gustav will continue to hold the record for the "latest first hurricane."

We are also monitoring Gabrielle. Do you remember Gabrielle formed in the Carribbean last week. It fell apart. But now, the remnants of Gabrielle have developed again into a tropical storm. It will move toward Bermuda. It will most likely remain and tropical storm and not get to hurricane status.

See the advisories from the NHC on both systems below:

...HUMBERTO ON A STRENGTHENING TREND......FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...14.4N 26.6WABOUT 150 MI...240 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDSMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.6 WEST. HUMBERTO ISMOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURNTO THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTEDLATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND HUMBERTO IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KMFROM THE CENTER.THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.


...GABRIELLE HEADING TOWARD BERMUDA...SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...29.9N 64.9WABOUT 165 MI...265 KM S OF BERMUDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHESWATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...NONESUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* BERMUDAA TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED ON BERMUDA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLEWAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST.GABRIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...ANDTHIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. AGRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARDSPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...GABRIELLEIS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER OR NEAR BERMUDA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KMFROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELSIS EXPECTED ON BERMUDA. IN ADDITION...ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS WILLBEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA BY THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTSFROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.RAINFALL...GABRIELLE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF2 TO 4 INCHES OVER BERMUDA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 6INCHES POSSIBLE.WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN BERMUDABY LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY.


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